foresights
The decisions leaders make today are shaped by what they understand about tomorrow. That's precisely why we built foresights—a dedicated space for sharing the ideas, trends, issues, and signals influencing the futures of leaders and their organisations.
Search the blog;
Visit here to see blog posts available in alternate languages.
Futures Thinking Icon No. 4: Four Archetypes.
You should read this if… you are a CEO or board member looking for a clear, disciplined way to think beyond forecasts and stress‑test strategy against fundamentally different futures. This article introduces Jim Dator’s four scenario archetypes—Growth, Discipline, Transformation, and Decline—as a practical framework for strategic foresight, showing how these recurring patterns of change can be used to explore multiple plausible futures rather than betting on a single outcome. It explains how applying all four archetypes helps leaders challenge assumptions, surface blind spots, and improve strategic agility across planning, policy, and organisational development, strengthening decision‑making in the face of long‑term uncertainty.
50 Questions to Ask About Our Futures Today.
You should read this if… you are a leader who recognises that better long‑term decisions start with better questions, not better forecasts. This article presents 50 carefully curated questions spanning technology, society, the environment, the economy, and politics, designed to challenge assumptions, surface blind spots, and expand how leaders think about change. Rather than offering predictions, it reframes futures thinking as a leadership discipline rooted in inquiry—helping organisations anticipate emerging risks, identify new opportunities, and engage more meaningfully with uncertainty by asking the questions that shape strategy, resilience, and long‑term impact.
Knowledge Base: Strategic Thinking: what is it and how to do it by Maree Conway.
You should read this if… you want to strengthen strategy by improving how your organisation thinks, not just how it plans. This article draws on Maree Conway’s work to clearly distinguish strategic thinking from strategic planning, arguing that effective strategy depends on the ability to imagine and explore future possibilities before locking in actions and plans. It explains strategic thinking as a deliberate, ongoing practice that helps leaders make sense of uncertainty, challenge assumptions, and consider multiple futures, providing the foundation for more coherent, future‑ready decisions rather than plans built solely on past trends or short‑term operational priorities.
Knowledge Base: A Generic Foresight Process Framework by Joseph Voros.
You should read this if… you are a strategic thinker seeking a clear, end‑to‑end way to integrate futures thinking into strategy rather than treating foresight as an isolated activity. This article introduces Joseph Voros’s Generic Foresight Process Framework, which lays out a structured sequence from scanning and sense‑making through to generating insights that directly inform strategy development and planning. It explains how the framework helps organisations systematically explore alternative futures, diagnose gaps in how foresight and strategy are currently practiced, and design more robust, adaptable decision‑making processes—turning foresight into a practical, repeatable capability rather than a one‑off exercise.
Icons of Futures Thinking.
You should read this if… you are a CEO or board member who wants a clear, accessible way to engage your leadership teams in futures thinking without wading through academic complexity. This article introduces Icons of Futures Thinking as a set of five practical, visual frameworks—the Futures Triangle, Two × Two Matrix, Three Horizons, Four Archetypes, and the Futures Wheel—that make it easier to explore uncertainty, challenge assumptions, and discuss alternative futures. It explains how these icons provide a shared language for leaders to identify signals of change, explore plausible disruptions, and think beyond short‑term horizons, turning futures thinking from an abstract concept into a usable, repeatable capability for strategic decision‑making.
Mastering the Art of Asking Questions: Simple Tips for Success.
You should read this if… you want to improve your decision‑making, learning, and strategic foresight by asking better questions rather than rushing to answers. This article explains why effective questioning is a core leadership skill, outlining the traits of good questions, common pitfalls to avoid, and simple techniques that help surface deeper insight and challenge assumptions. It shows how cultivating a questioning mindset—individually and across teams—can unlock new opportunities, strengthen problem‑solving, and create the conditions for more thoughtful, future‑focused conversations and decisions.
Case Study: The Scenario Creation Process.
You should read this if… you are a CEO, executive or board member who wants a practical, repeatable way to explore uncertainty and strengthen strategy without relying on a single forecast. This article walks through the scenario creation process, showing how teams can systematically explore and analyse multiple plausible futures to test assumptions, surface risks and opportunities, and build more resilient strategies. It demonstrates how well‑constructed scenarios expand thinking, support better conversations at the leadership level, and equip organisations to navigate complexity by preparing for a range of futures rather than betting on one expected outcome.
Case Study: How Scenario Planning Transformed a Council’s Operations Plan Review.
You should read this if… you are a leaders partway through a strategy cycle and want to pressure‑test your current operations plan against a rapidly changing future. This case study shows how scenario planning can be used mid‑strategy to pause, reflect, and recalibrate—helping leadership teams look beyond short‑term delivery and examine how emerging uncertainties and long‑term forces could affect today’s priorities. It demonstrates how using scenarios to review an operations plan surfaces hidden assumptions, strengthens alignment, and ensures near‑term actions remain robust and relevant across a range of plausible futures rather than being locked into a single, increasingly fragile view of what lies ahead.
Case Study: Building Scenarios to Expand Thinking.
You should read this if… you are a leader in business who wants to challenge entrenched assumptions and help leadership teams think beyond “business as usual.” This case study shows how building scenarios can be used as a practical foresight technique to expand strategic thinking, using structured exploration of trends and uncertainties to surface alternative ways the future might unfold. It demonstrates how scenario building helps leaders broaden perspectives, test beliefs, and prepare for future challenges with greater agility—shifting strategy conversations from predicting one outcome to learning how to navigate multiple plausible futures with confidence.
Why Are Businesses Avoiding Talking About Radical Transformation?
You should read this if… you are a leader who senses that radical transformation is needed, yet notices how often organisations default to incremental change instead. This article explores why businesses avoid talking openly about radical transformation—highlighting factors such as risk aversion, fear of uncertainty, attachment to existing models, and the comfort of short‑term optimisation. It explains how futures thinking can help leaders create a safer, more constructive space to explore deep change by reframing uncertainty, expanding strategic options, and enabling organisations to engage with transformative possibilities before external shocks force change on their terms.
Case Study: How to Review Your Strategy with Foresight.
You should read this if… you are a CEO, executive or board member who wants to pressure‑test your current strategy against a changing world rather than assume it will remain valid. This case study shows how reviewing strategy through a foresight lens helps leaders step back from short‑term assumptions, surface emerging external forces, and ask how the organisation itself may need to change as markets, technology, and customer expectations evolve. It demonstrates how structured foresight processes—such as trend analysis, leadership engagement, and scenario exploration—can unlock clearer conversations, stronger alignment, and more resilient strategic choices that are better suited to uncertainty and long‑term growth.
"What if?" - A great question to start strategic thinking.
You should read this if… you are a business leader who wants a simple but powerful way to strengthen strategic thinking and decision‑making under uncertainty. This article introduces “What if?” analysis as a foundational strategic question that helps leaders explore possible, probable, and preferred futures rather than relying on a single forecast. It explains how deliberately asking “What if?” surfaces hidden risks, challenges assumptions, and expands the range of strategic options available, enabling organisations to prepare more thoughtfully for what might happen next and to design strategies that support impact and future growth in a changing world.